A Gentle Introduction to Bayesian Estimation

 Coordinator  Sara van Erp
 Email  ms.summerschool@uu.nl
 Venue – Date Utrecht University –  21-25 July 2025
 Mandatory/elective Elective
 ECTS 1,5
 Abstract

We discuss specifying priors, obtaining the posterior, prior/posterior predictive checking, sensitivity analyses, and the usefulness of a specific class of priors called shrinkage priors. We propose strategies for reproducibility and reporting standards, outlining the WAMBS-checklist (when to Worry and how to Avoid the Misuse of Bayesian Statistics). We have prepared many exercises to get hands-on experience.

The popularity of Bayesian statistics has increased over the years; however, Bayesian methods are not a part of the statistics curricula in most graduate programs internationally. The Bayesian framework can handle some commonly encountered problems in classical statistics, such as the lack of power in small sample research and convergence issues in complex models. Furthermore, some researchers prefer the Bayesian framework because it sequentially updates knowledge with new data instead of requiring that each new study tests the null hypothesis that there is no effect in the population. The main focus of the course is on conceptually understanding Bayesian inference and applying Bayesian methods.

The instructors will clarify the differences between the philosophies and interpretations in classical and Bayesian frameworks. They illustrate how different types of research questions can be answered using Bayesian methods. This course will also give students experience running Bayesian analyses and interpreting results and instruct participants on the prevailing “best practices” for writing a scientific article based on Bayesian statistics. Participants will emerge from the course with knowledge about how to apply Bayesian methods to answer their research questions and with the ability to understand articles that examine and use Bayesian methods. 

For IOPS students who are taking this course there is an additional assignment that consists of analysing your own data using Bayesian analysis and reporting the results according to the reporting guidelines we discuss.

 Examination Completion course
 Registration & costs

Registration deadline is July 7, 2025.
For more information and registration see here.

As IOPS member, you are eligible to take one course of the Utrecht Summer School for free per year.
When registering, please mention that you are an IOPS member.